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Genetic programming for credit scoring: The case of Egyptian public sector banks

Abdou, HAH 2009, 'Genetic programming for credit scoring: The case of Egyptian public sector banks' , Expert Systems with Applications, 36 (9) , pp. 11402-11417.

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    Abstract

    Credit scoring has been widely investigated in the area of finance, in general, and banking sectors, in particular. Recently, genetic programming (GP) has attracted attention in both academic and empirical fields, especially for credit problems. The primary aim of this paper is to investigate the ability of GP, which was proposed as an extension of genetic algorithms and was inspired by the Darwinian evolution theory, in the analysis of credit scoring models in Egyptian public sector banks. The secondary aim is to compare GP with probit analysis (PA), a successful alternative to logistic regression, and weight of evidence (WOE) measure, the later a neglected technique in published research. Two evaluation criteria are used in this paper, namely, average correct classification (ACC) rate criterion and estimated misclassification cost (EMC) criterion with different misclassification cost (MC) ratios, in order to evaluate the capabilities of the credit scoring models. Results so far revealed that GP has the highest ACC rate and the lowest EMC. However, surprisingly, there is a clear rule for the WOE measure under EMC with higher MC ratios. In addition, an analysis of the dataset using Kohonen maps is undertaken to provide additional visual insights into cluster groupings.

    Item Type: Article
    Uncontrolled Keywords: Genetic programming Credit scoring Weight of evidence Egyptian public sector banks
    Themes: Subjects / Themes > H Social Sciences > HG Finance
    Subjects outside of the University Themes
    Schools: Colleges and Schools > College of Business & Law > Salford Business School > Finance, Accounting and Economics
    Colleges and Schools > College of Business & Law
    Colleges and Schools > College of Business & Law > Salford Business School
    ?? sch_sbs ??
    Journal or Publication Title: Expert Systems with Applications
    Publisher: Elsevier
    Refereed: Yes
    ISSN: 0957-4174
    Depositing User: Dr. Hussein A. Abdou
    Date Deposited: 30 Nov 2009 10:10
    Last Modified: 20 Aug 2013 17:01
    URI: http://usir.salford.ac.uk/id/eprint/2590

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    • Genetic programming for credit scoring: The case of Egyptian public sector banks. (deposited 30 Nov 2009 10:10)[Currently Displayed]

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