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Time varying ratings in association football : the all-time greatest team is...

Baker, RD and McHale, IG 2014, 'Time varying ratings in association football : the all-time greatest team is...' , Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series A (Statistics in Society), 178 (2) , pp. 481-492.

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Abstract

We present a new methodology to estimate time varying team strengths of football teams. Our dynamic model allows for deterministic, rather than stochastic, evolution of team strengths. We use the model to identify the best team in England since the English Football Association was formed and match results were recorded in 1888. Our results suggest that Chelsea in 2006 were stronger than any other team has been but that Manchester United have experienced the period of most dominance.

Item Type: Article
Schools: Schools > Salford Business School > Salford Business School Research Centre
Journal or Publication Title: Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series A (Statistics in Society)
Publisher: Wiley
ISSN: 0964-1998
Related URLs:
Funders: Non funded research
Depositing User: Professor Ian G. McHale
Date Deposited: 23 Oct 2015 17:25
Last Modified: 29 Oct 2015 00:46
URI: http://usir.salford.ac.uk/id/eprint/36877

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