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A decision support model for construction cash flow management

Khosrowshahi, F and Kaka, AP 2007, 'A decision support model for construction cash flow management' , Computer-aided Civil and Infrastructure Engineering, 22 (7) , pp. 527-539.

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      Abstract

      The excessive level of construction business failures and their association with financial difficulties has placed financial management in the forefront of many business imperatives. This has highlighted the importance of cash flow forecasting and management that has given rise to the development of several forecasting models. The traditional approach to the use of project financial models has been largely a project-oriented perspective. However, the dominating role of “project economics” in shaping “corporate economics” tends to place the corporate strategy at the mercy of the projects. This article approaches the concept of cash flow forecasting and management from a fresh perspective. Here, the use of forecasting models is extended beyond their traditional role as a guideline for monitoring and control of progress. They are regarded as tools for driving the project in the direction of corporate goals. The work is based on the premise that the main parties could negotiate the terms and attempt to complement their priorities. As part of this approach, a model is proposed for forecasting and management of project cash flow. The mathematical component of the model integrates three modules: an exponential and two fourth-degree polynomials. The model generates a forecast by potentially combining the outcome of data analysis with the experience and knowledge of the forecaster/organization. In light of corporate objectives, the generated forecast is then manipulated and replaced by a range of favorable but realistic cash flow profiles. Finally, through a negotiation with other parties, a compromised favorable cash flow is achieved. This article will describe the novel way the model is used as a decision support tool. Although the structure of the model and its mathematical components are described in detail, the data processing and analysis parts are briefly described and referenced accordingly. The viability of the model and the approach are demonstrated by means of a scenario.

      Item Type: Article
      Themes: Subjects / Themes > T Technology > TH Building construction
      Subjects / Themes > T Technology > TA Engineering (General). Civil engineering (General)
      Built and Human Environment
      Schools: Colleges and Schools > College of Science & Technology > School of the Built Environment
      Colleges and Schools > College of Science & Technology > School of the Built Environment > Centre for Information Technology in Construction
      Journal or Publication Title: Computer-aided Civil and Infrastructure Engineering
      Publisher: Wiley InterScience
      Refereed: Yes
      ISSN: 1093-9687
      Depositing User: H Kenna
      Date Deposited: 22 Dec 2008 09:12
      Last Modified: 20 Aug 2013 16:49
      URI: http://usir.salford.ac.uk/id/eprint/667

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