Evans, JA and Ivaldi, G 2008, 'Forecasting the extreme right vote in France (1984-2007)' , French Politics, 6 , pp. 137-151.
Full text not available from this repository.Abstract
This article identifies an issue model forecasting Extreme Right results in France between 1984 and 2007. Building upon the VP-function literature, the article looks to develop a model of electoral support for the Front National and Jean-Marie Le Pen, based upon the key political issues which are seen as motivating votes for this party: unemployment, crime and immigration. Controlling for political context through election type and opposition popularity, we find that the vote is linked to variation in macro-indicators of these issues and that consequently the Extreme Right vote in France is far from unpredictable, as some analyses have previously suggested.
| Item Type: | Article |
|---|---|
| Themes: | Subjects / Themes > J Political Science > JA Political science (General) Subjects outside of the University Themes |
| Schools: | Schools > School of Humanities, Languages & Social Sciences > Centre for Democracy and Human Rights Schools > School of Humanities, Languages & Social Sciences |
| Journal or Publication Title: | French Politics |
| Publisher: | Palgrave Macmillan |
| Refereed: | Yes |
| ISSN: | 1476-3419 |
| Depositing User: | JAJ Evans |
| Date Deposited: | 13 Oct 2010 10:50 |
| Last Modified: | 27 Aug 2021 22:28 |
| URI: | https://usir.salford.ac.uk/id/eprint/11170 |
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